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U.S. Unemployment Rate Hits 9.5 Percent
By Jeannine Aversa, AP Economics Writer
Manufacturing.Net - July 02, 2009

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WASHINGTON (AP) -- Employers cut a larger-than-expected 467,000 jobs in June and the unemployment rate climbed to a 26-year high of 9.5 percent. Workers also saw weekly wages fall, suggesting Americans will have little appetite to spend and the economy's road to recovery will be bumpy.

The Labor Department report, released Thursday, showed that even as the recession flashes signs of easing, companies likely will want to keep a lid on costs and be wary of hiring until they feel certain the economy is on solid ground.

June's payroll reductions were deeper than the 363,000 that economists expected and average weekly earnings dropped to the lowest level in nearly a year.

However, the rise in the unemployment rate from 9.4 percent in May wasn't as sharp as the expected 9.6 percent. Still, many economists predict the jobless rate will hit 10 percent this year, and keep rising into next year, before falling back.

All told, 14.7 million people were unemployed in June.

If laid-off workers who have given up looking for new jobs or have settled for part-time work are included, the unemployment rate would have been 16.5 percent in June, the highest on records dating to 1994.

"We were on the road of things getting less bad in the jobs market, and that has been temporarily waylaid," said economist Ken Mayland, president of ClearView Economics. "But this doesn't change my view that the recession will end later this year. We're probably two months away."

On Wall Street, the employment news pulled stocks lower. The Dow Jones industrials lost about 165 points in midday trading, and broader indices also fell. Overseas markets dropped after a report showed unemployment in Europe rose to a 10-year high in May.

Since the recession began in December 2007, the economy has lost a net total of 6.5 million jobs.

As the downturn bites into sales and profits, companies have turned to layoffs and other cost-cutting measures to survive. Those include holding down workers' hours and freezing or cutting pay.

The average work week in June fell to 33 hours, the lowest on records dating to 1964.

"We are in some very hard and severe economic times," Labor Secretary Hilda Solis said in an interview. "The president and I are both not happy."

Still, Solis thought it was too early to consider a second government stimulus, saying more time is needed for the current one to take hold. "I do think the public needs to be patient," she said. "We know they are hurting."

Layoffs in May turned out to smaller, 322,000, versus the 345,000 first reported. But job cuts in April were a bit deeper -- 519,000 versus 504,000, according to government data.

Even with higher pace of job cuts in June, the report indicates that the worst of the layoffs have passed. The deepest job cuts of the recession came in January, when 741,000 jobs vanished, the most in any month since 1949.

For the second quarter, job losses averaged 436,000 a month. That was down from a monthly average of 691,000 in the first quarter. Economists predict the economy will continue to lose jobs through the rest of this year, although they hope at a slower pace.

And there was some other encouraging job news Thursday.

In a separate report, the department said the number of newly laid-off workers filing applications for unemployment benefits fell last week to 614,000, in line with economists' predictions. The number of people continuing to draw benefits unexpectedly dropped to 6.7 million.

Meanwhile, the Commerce Department said orders placed with U.S. factories rose 1.2 percent in May, the most in 11 months. The increase also was better than economists expected.

Still, job losses last month were widespread.

Professional and business services slashed 118,000 jobs, more than double the 48,000 cut in May. Manufacturers cut 136,000, down from 156,000. Construction companies got rid of 79,000 jobs, up from 48,000 the previous month. Retailers eliminated 21,000, up from 17,600. Financial activities cut 27,000, following 30,000 in May. The government cut 52,000 jobs, up from 10,000 the previous month. Leisure and hospitality cut 18,000 jobs, erasing a gain of the same size in May.

One of the few industries adding jobs: education and health services, which added 34,000 positions last month and 47,000 in May.

Mayland and other economists said a good chunk of June's job losses likely were affected by shutdowns at General Motors Corp. and fallout from the troubled auto industry, which should let up later this summer. The government said employment at factories making autos and parts fell by 27,000 last month.

Payroll losses and the unemployment rate are derived from two separate statistical surveys. The jobless rate probably would have moved higher if not for people dropping out of the labor force.

With the weakness in the job market, workers saw wages drop in June.

Average weekly earnings fell from $613.34 in May, to $611.49 in June, the lowest level in nearly a year and the first drop since March. That raises fresh questions about consumers' willingness to spend in the months ahead.

The worst crises in the housing, credit and financial markets since the 1930s have plunged the country into the longest recession since World War II.

Many think the jobless rate could rise as high as 10.7 percent by the second quarter of next year before it starts to make a slow descent. Some think the rate will top out at 11 percent. The post-World War II high was 10.8 percent at the end of 1982, when the country had suffered through a severe recession.

Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke predicts the recession will end this year, with many economists forecasting that the economy will start to grow again as soon as the current July-September quarter.

But recoveries after financial crises tend to be slow, which is why economists predict it will take years for the job market to return to normal. Some predict the nation's unemployment rate won't drop to 5 percent until 2013.

An elevated unemployment rate could become a political liability for President Barack Obama when congressional elections are held next year. The last time the unemployment rate topped 10 percent, the party of the president -- then Ronald Reagan's GOP -- lost 26 House seats in midterm elections in 1982.

So far, many people are saving -- rather than spending -- the extra money in their paychecks from Obama's tax cut, blunting its help in bracing the economy. Much of the economic benefit of Obama's increased government spending on big public works projects won't kick in until 2010, analysts say.

The White House last week said federal money was being shoveled out of Washington quickly, but states aren't steering the cash to counties that need jobs the most.

Large job cuts have continued this week. Newspaper publisher Gannett Co. said it plans to cut 1,400 jobs in the next few weeks, about 3 percent of the work force, as it faces a prolonged slump in advertising revenue. Farm machinery company Deere & Co. said 800 salaried employees, or 3 percent of its salaried work force, took a voluntary buyout offer.


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Unemployment  7/2/2009 12:02:00 PM
How can anyone expect the employment situation to improve until these boneheads in Washington do something about the millions of jobs lost to outsourcing to places like China,Mexico, India, Vietnam and others? Oh, I forgot we are going to get the largest tax increase in history (Cap and Trade) and that will fix everything.
Just what you'd expect from the Marxist policies of Obama  7/2/2009 12:10:00 PM
The Porkulous is a joke. Wait until Cap-n-Tax gets passed.
PORK Bill  7/2/2009 12:44:00 PM
You guys are forgetting that if we did not have the 8.7 billion stimulus (biggest pork in history) we would have 15% unemployment. It must have saved 2,000,0000 jobs by now!
Cap-and-Trade will cause out-sourcing.  7/2/2009 12:47:00 PM
Cap-n-Tax is not meant to improve the environment (and when Obama says otherwise, he's lying), Cap-n-Tax is not meant to improve the economy - in fact, it will cause more outsourcing. Cap-n-Tax is meant to facilitate global redistribution of wealth which is traitorous. Global redistribution of wealth is a principle part of the agenda of this Marxist President (after all, he is a puppet of George Soros).
Extra Money in Their Paychecks  7/2/2009 1:30:00 PM
"the extra money in their paychecks from Obama's tax cut, blunting its help in bracing the economy." What are you smoking? The extra $13 a month isn't even helping with rising gas and food prices. How is that suppose to boost the economy?
And the price is?  7/2/2009 2:01:00 PM
How can we expect unemployment to get better? Not until we pay our willing workers world-class wages, $6-7 per hour. Until then, China, Mexico, India, Vietnam and others will eat our lunch.
Cut corporate taxes on revenues generated by value added in the US  7/2/2009 2:34:00 PM
Cuting corporate taxes on revenues generated by value added in the US would INSTANTLY create US jobs despite the availability of cheaper labor China, Mexico, India, Vietnam, et cetera.
Pork Bill?  7/2/2009 2:43:00 PM
Agree there were lately many pork bills, starting with the Dummie W' & Paulson's initial "bank bailout" - but that is really corporate socialism ... nothing for the millions of Americans that bear the brunt of the results of 'stealth capitalism' of the Reagan years & followers. The complicit Democrats never torpedoed that, just painted it differently - ALL what we in the US see now, is the result of faults from that period and the conservatives clowns that followed this path ... - the neo- in the Republican party and their co-horts in the Donkey PArty ... worse now it seems BO is following this path by dumping more into bancrupt banks - but close to nothing what can call itself a stimulus ... this is a disaster in the making for years, that just got monemtum - more to follow - thats the price to believe in "free enterprise" - a nonsense-concept not worth repeating!!! So it's not about Marxism, but controling those elements in the 'free enterprise' that wreak the havoc. Don't blow smoke into the eyes - the previous adminstrations are to blame, not BO ... he can make a real difference for most Americans or continue the bad path the US is on since the 80ties!
misleading  7/2/2009 3:48:00 PM
The REAL headline is lost in the text ..." ... 14.7 million people unemployed in June. If laid-off workers who have given up looking for new jobs or have settled for part-time work are included, the unemployment rate would have been 16.5 percent in June ..." now THAT is a 3rd world rate. BTW these clueless folks in DC etc should stop talking about hope .. DELIVER results
This depression is due to Urban Reinvestment Act  7/2/2009 6:46:00 PM
The Urban Reinvestment Act was signed by Carter. The Urban Reinvestment Act was doubled-down on by Clinton. These Acts, administered by Democrat Chris Dodd, resulted in the issuance of Mortgage Backed Securities (worthless paper because the mortgages obligated people that couldn't afford their houses) by FEDDIE MAC and FANNY MAE. Bank failures were caused when increases in the interest rates caused defaults on the mortgages packaged as Mortgage Backed Securities and held by the various banks, GE Capitol and AIG. The Democrats in Congress ignored warnings starting in 2006 that this house-of-cards would topple soon. Actually, Democrats Dodd, et al, argued vehemently that these mortgages, banks, et cetera were rock solid. The blame for this depression belongs squarely with the Democrats and their Socialist ways (e.g.; Urban Reinvestment Act, et cetera).
unemployment rate high  7/6/2009 10:55:00 AM
Higher cuts than expected? By whom? Those "people" in Washington once again demonstrating they don't have a clue. We're NOT out of the woods yet!
Re: Urban Reinvestment Act  7/7/2009 5:38:00 PM
Whooa - there is a fine expert getting finally the rabit out of the hat and .... well what surprise: the Democrats are to be blamed! Agreed they deserve a fair share of blame for the situation (Clinton first!!), but one defintely cannot charge that they are "solcialists". Only persons who does not know anything about socialism or Democrats or probabaly nothing about anything can be so ignorant to state such ... The blame award goes to President Reagan and his violent co-horts and heirs, for their 'de-regulation' dogma and those Democrats that have not had the backbone to stand up against those mediocre politicians, that just helped their country club buddies of Bush, Carlise and co to enrich themselves and plunder the rest of the union - something Rebulicans of course don't want to admitt, squared & mired in their religious fantasy world of "evil and good".


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