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OPEC: Oil Could Hit $170 Soon

Manufacturing.Net - June 26, 2008

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PARIS (AP) -- Crude oil prices will likely rise to between $150 and $170 a barrel this summer, OPEC President Chakib Khelil was quoted as telling a French television station.

Khelil, in an interview with France 24, said much would depend on the European Central Bank's policy on the euro, as well as whether the West puts more pressure on major oil producer Iran over its contested nuclear program.

"I foresee prices probably between $150 and $170 this summer," Khelil was quoted as saying in an interview transcript made available Thursday. "That will probably decline a bit toward the end of the year."

Oil futures rose sharply almost immediately after Khelil's comment, along with emerging reports that Libya may cut oil production.

Light, sweet crude for August delivery rose as high as $138.95 a barrel shortly after the New York Mercantile Exchange opened before retreating some to trade up $2.50 at $137.05.

Asked if prices might reach $200 a barrel, Khelil was quoted as saying, "I don't think so."

Khelil said the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries would reevaluate its hands-off attitude to rocketing prices at September's OPEC meeting.

"If there is real demand in the market, OPEC will take the measures necessary to satisfy this demand," he said. Khelil blamed a drop in the value of the dollar as the No. 1 problem contributing to high prices.

"You can see it, every time there is a strengthening of the dollar, there's a drop in prices," he said.


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They got us Over a Barrel  6/26/2008 11:37:00 AM
Contrary to what US Energy Secretary Samuel Bodman says I don't think supply and demand are really causing the problem. There are to many other factors at play here. Too many middle men skimming profits. Too much manipulation of supplies and inventories. The price of oil nearly doubled and gas went up a third in just one year and yet figures are coming out that indicate we are using less gas, not more, probably because people are cutting back on gas. That clearly means supply and demand have nothing to do with these prices. Speculation is driving prices !!! Lawmakers blame loopholes in commodities trading like the Swaps loophole or Enron Loophole. Whatever you want to call it, It's a get rich quick scheme and not much less obvious than a pyramid scheme. There is no way supply is causing this gas crisis. I put the full blame on speculators and commodities traders and I am sick of the smoke and mirrors. The meeting in Saudi Arabia hasn't achieved any substantial results from what I can see. The price of oil is still going up. There must be something else that's driving prices up and I think I know what it is. Although il appears to be a good hedge against inflation, a lower dollar and a low oil supply, in reality nothing could be farther from the truth. The main thing driving inflation is oil prices and as inflation goes higher investors buy more oil driving inflation higher again. Some experts predict this will trigger the worldwide recession. This will result in lower gas consumption and it will free up more gas supplies.. I am no expert but even I can see the writing on the wall. Investors are going to loose their shirts on oil. We may be looking at another ENRON. Hedge funds will topple leaving old age pensioners with nothing. The government won't be able to bail them out this time because the cost would be far to great. The CFTC and ICE will be too slow to react to the cracks forming in commodities trading so the govenment will finally step in. By that time it will probably be too late.
High Gas Prices  6/26/2008 12:22:00 PM
I keep wondering why, if supplies are tight enough to cause these outrageous rise in gasoline prices, we are not exepriencing shortages or hvae been forced to ration gasoline.
$170 Oil  6/26/2008 12:25:00 PM
This is a crime!!!!!
Ending Speculation  6/26/2008 12:32:00 PM
I heard Newt Gingrich say the president should suddenly release 1/3 of the strategic petrol reserve into the market to quickly reduce the price and burn the speculators. Perhaps just saying he's thinking about doing it might help.
Profit-taking  6/26/2008 12:40:00 PM
This is the best free ride any investor could ever want. Work on people's fear about 'trouble in the Middle East, supply issues, dollar valuation', all driving the fear factor and the price of oil higher and higher, and the West is biting all the way, hook, line & sinker. The best thing we could ever do is find ways, really REALLY find ways to cut back or eliminate consumption. The problem is that the current administration is not in the habit of fostering research on oil alternatives. We need petrol, no doubt about it. But we need it for the raw ingredients for plastics and such, so we will never be able to completely eliminate oil from our economy. What we do need to cut, and what we can cut, is gasoline use. We need to be able to turn our backs on gasoline for good. We're addicted, and just like an alcoholic, even if we go back for just a taste, we're basically off the wagon, consuming right back to record levels. We need to go off gasoline for good, no matter how cheap oil and gas become after demand drops. The question is, do we have it in us to stop? Will we have enough foresight to forever cut or eliminate our oil dependence? Or will we be weak and give in to lower prices? It's timne to draw a line in the sand and walk away. Too many people getting rich for doing nothing.
And they just laugh!!!!!!!!  6/26/2008 12:42:00 PM
"The main thing driving inflation is oil prices and as inflation goes higher investors buy more oil driving inflation higher again." "I put the full blame on speculators and commodities traders and I am sick of the smoke and mirrors." And they just laugh at the influence that they have on the economy. It's a new (toy) for those that can as long as we keep supporting it.
The Solution  6/26/2008 12:54:00 PM
Electric Cars. Bring back the EV1
talkback  6/26/2008 1:19:00 PM
1) there is not enough battery materials, or electricity to jump to EVs. 2) It has nothing to do with the administration current or otherwise. 3) Speculation and politics especally because we don't control/produce enough of the oil -this is the problem
Gasoline consumption  6/26/2008 2:15:00 PM
Reduced gasoline consumption would clearly help. No one has mentioned reducing highway speed limits from 70 MPH back to 55 MPH where it used to be set in order to conserve fuel. Airlines have slowed their planes down to conserve. So what if it does take a little longer to get there?
bogus data?   6/26/2008 4:43:00 PM
show me the data that WORLDWIDE consumption of gas airline fuel, and diesel has indeed gone down in the last year and I'll believe there is not a supply problem...don't confuse US consumption with worldwide consumption. More supply will cure all these issues and drive down the price immediately, despite what Mr. Obama claims.
Oil prices "Robbery" without a gun  6/27/2008 6:16:00 AM
With the USA only importing 20% of we sure are paying a lot of money for fuel. What the oil companies don't tell you is they sell oil from Alaska to Japan and Gulf of Mexico oil to Australia for more money than here. The politicians are all riding this oil money wagon. Come November it may be time to vote them all out.
Solution  6/27/2008 7:37:00 AM
Supper effecient cars can cut the consumption by 70%to 80% If 25% of USA cars become supper effecient, the consumption will drop 20%. How do you like that?
TELL THEM TO STOP  6/28/2008 8:03:00 AM
It''s time we did something about high gas prices. Copy and paste the web address below into your browser address bar and tell your government representative that you want the loopholes in oil commodities trading plugged up (ie: the Swaps Loophole and the ENRON Loophole) This is serious and needs to be addressed immediately. The link directly to the government site is http://answers.usa.gov/cgi-bin/gsa_ict.cfg/php/enduser/ask.php
Gas prices  6/30/2008 2:54:00 PM
Its the Enron Loophole, greed and government. There is no supply shortages. Its all bogus.
Oil   7/2/2008 1:49:00 PM
I hope someday we can tell these rip off artists where they can put their oil. Somewhere the sun don't shine. We are getting screwed!
Remember Winter?  7/2/2008 3:52:00 PM
Summertime and the living is easy. What are we going to do this winter when the price of fuel oil hits $5 a gallon? People should be less concerned with how they're going to pay for gasoline to go on vacation this summer and more on how to keep from freezing to death this winter!
The big elephant in the middle of the room  7/2/2008 4:10:00 PM
I see a noticeable absence of comment on the comment near the end stating that the value of the dollar is the "No. 1 problem contributing to high prices". Could anyone believe that this administration’s policies have nothing to do with our position in the world? While we are squandering billions of dollars and untold numbers of lives in a hopeless war our economy is in serious trouble. And since this war is in the heart of oil production could this have nothing to do with supply? It is time we change course and return to the leadership on the world stage that has been our legacy for the last 100 years. While we wring our hands over the feasibility of solar energy, we are being eclipsed by countries like China, Venezuela, and the United Arab Emeritz. Notice that 2 of these countries are major oil producers and even they don't believe they can depend on oil revenues for the not too distant future. Instead of exporting unpopular wars and large scale, environmentally dubious projects, we could be the leaders in exporting small to medium scale renewable energy solutions. In the emerging world where there is no electricity grid, there is a great hunger for these small local to regional solutions. I know because some of my customers are making equipment for the production of solar panels. Their customers are not in this country though. While I would like to see some kind of controls on the obscene profits being made right now on oil, I do not see a mechanism, let alone the will to bring this about. As engineers, we should be able to see beyond the current crisis. We are among the ones who can solve this. We are also, many of us, in industries tied to the status quo. Sometimes this makes it difficult to see that the solutions lie outside the paradigms we currently find ourselves. I can't think of an issue that threatens our security as a nation more than our lack of control on such a vital resource. Yes the federal government should get involved, but not just by tweaking the current system with releasing reserves or trading the environment for security. When we were threatened in WWII the "Manhatten Project" was created to develop the atomic bomb. It was an immense, ambitions project but it succeeded in a very short time to bring about a technology that never existed before. Just think what could happen if just a fraction of what we are spending in Iraq was spent on bringing about solar energy, wind energy, fuel cells, a hydrogen infrastructure. I believe we have come to the end of megalythic energy production. Let's learn from the lessons of computers and the internet. Small duplicated resources, working together in a network can take advantage of differences rather than having them be a problem. Remember when the only way to compute was larger and larger mainframes? New England has wind and some solar, Arizona has lots of solar. Some areas have better access to geothermal energy on a local basis. There is a great anticipation right now of what might be possible if investment really picks up in these areas. Maybe it will happen anyway because the private sector realizes there is market potential here. We could accelerate this process years by having the federal government jump in with assistance and leadership. Remember how Jimmy Carter put solar panels on the roof of the White House? Remember when Ronald Reagan took them down because "they sent the wrong message"?
Stop Crying  7/2/2008 4:17:00 PM
Do you have a 401K? Do you have a diversafied money market or mutual fund? You are all sharing in the profits. Since when is making money legally a crime? Some of you are the thieves costing everybody money because most of you are probably charging some company money for your labor while you post things on the internet while you are at work (and your salary is past on to the consumer who desires that company's product or service). Did you pay more for your bottle of water ($1 for 16 oz) then you do for 16 oz of gas? That sounds like a scam - but wait its not, you willingly bought that $1 water and you liked it. I say good for the bottler and good for you, make some profits by selling something someone wants to buy. And don't be silly, open up nuclear, open up the coal mines, open up oil fields or pay high prices. Do you think other countries are going to drill oil in a cleaner fashion than the U.S. anyway? Get real, exporting oil production to poorer countries shows how discriminating and how not caring about the environment 1/2 of America really is. I say drill here, drill clean.
gas prices  7/2/2008 4:29:00 PM
I heard all the same arguments last week in the casino!!!! As everyone was gambling away their hard earned $$$. Think about it !!


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